Serie A Predictions (Italy)
Serie A predictions for every Italian round we cover, from the Friday 20:45 match to Monday night: pick, odds, confidence and WAT kick-off for each game.
Top Serie A Predictions (Italy)
20 selections
-
1
Udinese vs Roma Roma have made a much stronger league start than Udinese.Roma to win 1.62
-
2
Udinese vs Roma Roma have made a much stronger league start than Udinese.X2 1.18
-
3
Udinese vs Roma Roma have made a much stronger league start than Udinese.Over 2.5 1.62
-
4
Como vs Venezia Como have won six of nine league games while Venezia have lost eight.Over 2.5 1.41
-
5
Como vs Venezia Como have won six of nine league games while Venezia have lost eight.1X 1.08
-
6
Como vs Venezia Como have won six of nine league games while Venezia have lost eight.Over 1.5 1.11
-
7
Lazio vs Cagliari Lazio have won eight of their first nine league fixtures.1X 1.11
-
8
Lazio vs Cagliari Lazio have won eight of their first nine league fixtures.NG 1.79
-
9
Lazio vs Cagliari Lazio have won eight of their first nine league fixtures.Over 1.5 1.24
-
10
Atalanta vs Parma Parma have scored only five goals in nine league matches.1X 1.14
-
11
Atalanta vs Parma Parma have scored only five goals in nine league matches.Over 1.5 1.21
-
12
Atalanta vs Parma Parma have scored only five goals in nine league matches.Over 2.5 1.73
-
13
Milan vs Inter Inter's early-season results give them the stronger form profile entering the derby.X2 1.33
-
14
Milan vs Inter Inter's early-season results give them the stronger form profile entering the derby.Inter to win 2.10
-
15
Milan vs Inter Inter's early-season results give them the stronger form profile entering the derby.GG 1.57
-
16
Frosinone vs Torino Frosinone have scored 22 goals in nine league matches.GG 1.38
-
17
Frosinone vs Torino Frosinone have scored 22 goals in nine league matches.Over 2.5 1.44
-
18
Frosinone vs Torino Frosinone have scored 22 goals in nine league matches.Over 1.5 1.11
-
19
Lecce vs Genoa Lecce have scored only ten times in nine league games.Under 2.5 1.63
-
20
Lecce vs Genoa Lecce have scored only ten times in nine league games.NG 1.75
18+ · Odds can change, check them with your bookmaker before you bet. No pick is guaranteed.
Serie A
Roma have made a much stronger league start than Udinese.
Roma have made a much stronger league start than Udinese.
Roma have made a much stronger league start than Udinese.
Roma have made a much stronger league start than Udinese.
Roma have made a much stronger league start than Udinese.
Roma have made a much stronger league start than Udinese.
Roma have made a much stronger league start than Udinese.
Inter's early-season results give them the stronger form profile entering the derby.
Inter's early-season results give them the stronger form profile entering the derby.
Inter's early-season results give them the stronger form profile entering the derby.
Inter's early-season results give them the stronger form profile entering the derby.
Inter's early-season results give them the stronger form profile entering the derby.
Inter's early-season results give them the stronger form profile entering the derby.
Inter's early-season results give them the stronger form profile entering the derby.
Como have won six of nine league games while Venezia have lost eight.
Como have won six of nine league games while Venezia have lost eight.
Como have won six of nine league games while Venezia have lost eight.
Como have won six of nine league games while Venezia have lost eight.
Como have won six of nine league games while Venezia have lost eight.
Como have won six of nine league games while Venezia have lost eight.
Como have won six of nine league games while Venezia have lost eight.
Lazio have won eight of their first nine league fixtures.
Frosinone have scored 22 goals in nine league matches.
Lazio have won eight of their first nine league fixtures.
Frosinone have scored 22 goals in nine league matches.
Lazio have won eight of their first nine league fixtures.
Lazio have won eight of their first nine league fixtures.
Frosinone have scored 22 goals in nine league matches.
Frosinone have scored 22 goals in nine league matches.
Frosinone have scored 22 goals in nine league matches.
Lazio have won eight of their first nine league fixtures.
Frosinone have scored 22 goals in nine league matches.
Lazio have won eight of their first nine league fixtures.
Frosinone have scored 22 goals in nine league matches.
Lazio have won eight of their first nine league fixtures.
Lecce have scored only ten times in nine league games.
Lecce have scored only ten times in nine league games.
Lecce have scored only ten times in nine league games.
Lecce have scored only ten times in nine league games.
Juventus recently lost 2-0 to Genoa and face another demanding opponent.
No tips for this selection yet. Check back after 08:00 WAT.
On this page
Our Serie A predictions follow Italy’s top flight through its long, spread-out weekend, from Friday evening to Monday night. Every pick above shows the WAT kick-off, the market, the odds and a confidence score.
A Serie A weekend in Nigerian time
Italy uses Central European Time. From the last Sunday in October to the last Sunday in March that is UTC+1, the same as Nigeria, so Italian kick-off times read the same in Lagos. For the rest of the season Italy is an hour ahead and you subtract one hour.
| Day and Italian time | WAT in winter | WAT in summer |
|---|---|---|
| Friday 20:45 | 20:45 | 19:45 |
| Saturday 15:00 / 18:00 / 20:45 | 15:00 / 18:00 / 20:45 | 14:00 / 17:00 / 19:45 |
| Sunday 12:30 | 12:30 | 11:30 |
| Sunday 15:00 / 18:00 / 20:45 | 15:00 / 18:00 / 20:45 | 14:00 / 17:00 / 19:45 |
| Monday evening | varies | varies |
A typical round has one match on Friday, three on Saturday, four or five on Sunday and one or two on Monday. Because games are spread out rather than bunched, you rarely have more than two Italian matches running at once, which makes it easier to follow team news for each one. The Sunday 12:30 lunchtime game is often the first football of the day on a Nigerian slip.
How the Serie A season is organised
Twenty clubs play 38 matches each, 380 in total, from August to May. The bottom three are relegated to Serie B and three clubs come up from there. The top of the table earns Champions League places, with further spots in the Europa League and Conference League.
One rule sets Serie A apart from the other major European leagues. If two clubs finish level on points for first place, or for 17th, the last safe spot, they meet in a one-off play-off at a neutral ground. It is 90 minutes and straight to penalties, with no extra time. For any other position, head-to-head points come first, then head-to-head goal difference, then overall goal difference.
For betting, that play-off is a single match where a draw after 90 minutes settles a 1X2 bet as a draw, even though penalties then decide who stays up or wins the title. The head-to-head order for other places also means some late-season meetings between clubs chasing Europe carry more weight than the table suggests.
What makes Italian football different to bet on
Serie A has long been associated with tactical discipline, and many coaches change shape from week to week depending on the opponent. That makes the expected line-up and formation more useful to us than a season-long goals average.
Four things get extra attention in our Serie A analysis:
- System changes. A switch from a back four to a back three, or a striker dropped for an extra midfielder, can move the expected goals of a match by a meaningful amount.
- The spread-out schedule. A club playing on Monday night and again the following Saturday has less rest than a Friday side; we count the days.
- Relegation pressure. With three clubs going down and the 17th-place play-off rule, the bottom five or six often play cautiously in spring, which affects goals markets more than result markets.
- European commitments. Clubs playing in the Champions League, Europa League or Conference League often land the Monday or late-Sunday slot after a European week, but a Thursday trip followed by a Sunday 12:30 kick-off is a short turnaround we always flag.
Serie A betting tips: matching the market to the match
We do not assume Italian games are low-scoring; some clubs play some of the most open football in Europe. Instead we let each match-up decide the market.
- Both sides compact. Look at under lines or NG; our under/over 2.5 picks cover these.
- A strong home side against a deep block. The winner is likely but goals may be slow; our win-to-nil selections or a handicap often fit.
- Two attacking sides. Our both teams to score picks or higher goal lines come into play.
- A genuinely even game. The draw is often underrated by punters; see our draw selections when our numbers support it.
Example A strong home side faces a relegation-threatened visitor that has kept men behind the ball for weeks. “Home win and under 3.5 goals” is priced 2.05. A ₦2,500 stake returns ₦5,125 if the hosts win 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 or 3-0 (₦2,625 profit). A 4-0 or a draw loses. We would post this only if the home side’s chance creation against deep defences backed it.
Using our Serie A predictions: tabs, filters and results
Friday and Monday matches appear in the Today tab, and the Weekend tab gathers the Saturday and Sunday games. Filter by market to see only goals or result picks. The results table above logs each Italian pick with its final score and the odds we posted, so you can judge us on prices that were actually available.
When you add Italian games to a weekend slip, the spread of kick-offs from Friday to Monday means the slip stays live for several days. Check the numbers first in our acca calculator, and stick to picks with higher confidence ratings if you combine more than two.
Serie A odds often shift after the coach’s pre-match press conference and again when line-ups appear. Compare our calls with other leagues on the predictions hub, our Spanish league picks or our Thursday European tips, and use our guide to reading odds if a price looks unfamiliar.
More predictions
Frequently asked questions
They play a single play-off match at a neutral venue. If it is level after 90 minutes it goes straight to penalties, with no extra time. The same applies to clubs tied for 17th place, the last position that avoids relegation.
The 12:30 Italian kick-off starts at 12:30 WAT between late October and late March, when Italy and Nigeria share the same time. During European summer time Italy is one hour ahead, so it starts at 11:30 WAT.
Three clubs go down to Serie B each season, and three come up to replace them. If two clubs finish level on points for 17th place, a one-match play-off decides which of them stays in the top flight.
It depends on the clubs, not the league. Several Italian sides play open, attacking football, while others defend deep. We judge each fixture on both teams' chance creation and concession, and only post an under line when those numbers support it, as shown on our under goals guide.